HomeBusinessInflation Eases, But Households Still Feel the Squeeze

Inflation Eases, But Households Still Feel the Squeeze

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Inflation rate edged lower in August, offering Batswana a sliver of relief. Yet with consumer prices still rising at more than three times the Bank of Botswana’s medium-term objective range, households and businesses remain under pressure.

Statistics Botswana reported that annual inflation slowed to 9.3 percent in August from 9.4 percent in July, marking a modest decline of 0.1 percentage points. The national Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4 percent during the month, lifting the index from 148.8 to 149.5.

Transport remained the dominant driver of inflation, contributing 5.1 percentage points to the headline rate. Miscellaneous Goods and Services added 1.2 percentage points, while Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages contributed 0.9 percentage points.

Although overall inflation eased, fresh pressure emerged from utility costs. The Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels group recorded the largest monthly increase among major expenditure categories, rising 1.4 percent. Statistics Botswana attributed the increase largely to a 6.8 percent jump in the Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels component following revised domestic electricity tariffs that took effect on August 1.

The inflation picture varied across the country. Urban villages recorded a decline in annual inflation to 9.2 percent from 9.4 percent, while rural villages saw inflation rise slightly to 10.2 percent. Inflation in cities and towns remained unchanged at 9.0 percent.

Food prices also continued their upward march. The Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages index rose 0.5 percent during the month, driven by higher prices for milk and dairy products, fruits, coffee, tea and cocoa, among other items.

The inflation picture varied across the country. Urban villages recorded a decline in annual inflation to 9.2 percent from 9.4 percent, while rural villages saw inflation rise slightly to 10.2 percent. Inflation in cities and towns remained unchanged at 9.0 percent.

Beneath the headline figures, imported price pressures remain pronounced. Imported tradeables inflation stood at 13.0 percent in August, compared with 6.2 percent for non-tradeables. 

All-tradeables inflation eased to 11.4 percent from 11.9 percent in July, suggesting some moderation in externally driven price increases. Core inflation measures also softened.

The trimmed mean core inflation rate slipped to 8.3 percent from 8.4 percent, while core inflation excluding administered prices fell to 5.9 percent from 6.3 percent.

The latest figures suggest inflation may have passed its recent peak. However, electricity tariff adjustments and persistent transport costs indicate that Botswana’s battle against elevated prices is far from over. Consumers may welcome the slowdown, but few are likely to feel it just yet.

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