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Fuel supply stable but risks remain amid Middle East tensions

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The Botswana Energy Regulatory Authority (BERA) says the country has enough fuel for the coming weeks but warned that ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could still disrupt future supplies.

In a press statement issued on Monday, BERA said it continues to closely monitor the importation of petroleum products into Botswana through monthly reports submitted by oil companies, while also tracking global developments that may affect supply chains.
According to the regulator, commercial fuel stocks for March 2026 stand at about 68 million litres, which is estimated to cover roughly 22 days of national consumption, based on daily demand of around 3.1 million litres.

The authority added that government strategic reserves currently provide about nine days of national cover, compared with a maximum storage capacity of 15 days. In addition, citizen-owned oil companies reported stock levels ranging between five and ten days.

BERA said it is working closely with the Ministry of Minerals and Energy, the Botswana Oil Limited (BOL) and fuel importers to manage supply risks through ongoing supplier engagement and active planning.

BERA said the current outlook for March remains stable, but cautioned that the situation could change depending on developments in the Middle East, where conflict and tensions have raised concerns about global fuel supply routes.

“The continuation or escalation of geopolitical conflict in the Middle East and disruptions to key maritime routes may present potential risks to future global fuel supply chains,” the authority said.

It warned that in times of uncertainty, fuel-producing countries may prioritise their own domestic needs, which could result in export restrictions or delays in deliveries. Such disruptions could include failure to deliver contracted shipments due to circumstances beyond suppliers’ control.

BERA said it is working closely with the Ministry of Minerals and Energy, the Botswana Oil Limited (BOL) and fuel importers to manage supply risks through ongoing supplier engagement and active planning.

The authority also announced that it will issue weekly updates on the situation and urged the public not to panic or hoard fuel.

“We encourage consumers to remain calm and avoid hoarding products,” the regulator said, adding that the nation will be kept informed of any developments that could affect supply.

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